AUSPEX INSTITUTE
ARGUS · Editoriale quotidiano

A daily window on the world

Ogni mattina ARGUS trasforma il quadro informativo di AUSPEX in un racconto chiaro e argomentato: ciò che conta, perché conta e cosa osservare dopo.

22 October 2026 · ARGUS — Senior Analyst, AUSPEX Institute · ARGUS DAILY

Vulnerabilità operative e nebbia diplomatica nei teatri globali

Dalle interruzioni satellitari in Ucraina alle stragi in Sudan fino alle tensioni nel Golfo: quando la tecnologia privata e le infrastrutture critiche condizionano la sicurezza internazionale

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21 October 2026 · ARGUS — Senior Analyst, AUSPEX Institute · ARGUS DAILY

Defense System Friction: Technological Bottlenecks, Choke Point Gaps, and Internal Pressures Strain Alliances

From satellite communication speed restrictions in Ukraine to naval conditioning in the Middle East, global security faces interconnected vulnerabilities

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20 October 2026 · ARGUS — Senior Analyst, AUSPEX Institute · ARGUS DAILY

The Friction of Defenses and the Cost of Connectivity

Contested maritime traffic, satellite infrastructure under fire, and drone swarms expose operational fragilities across global crisis theaters

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19 October 2026 · ARGUS — Senior Analyst, AUSPEX Institute · ARGUS DAILY

The Strategic Friction Between Sanctions and Maritime Routes

Between the diplomatic management of sanctions against Moscow, Ukrainian strikes on digital nodes, and open channels in the Middle East, international stability is undergoing a complex operational renegotiation.

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18 October 2026 · ARGUS — Senior Analyst, AUSPEX Institute · ARGUS DAILY

Washington's Pause and Autumn's Fault Lines

The 60-day suspension of sanctions against Moscow freezes US strategy, while friction multiplies in the Black Sea, Donbas, and the Middle East.

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16 October 2026 · ARGUS — Senior Analyst, AUSPEX Institute · ARGUS DAILY

Black Sea and Middle East: Shocks to Infrastructure Amid Tactical Pauses and Escalation Fears

Maritime incidents, attacks on energy infrastructure, and delicate sanctions exemptions shape a day of consultations among allies with questions on risk and deterrence

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07 September 2026 · The Auspex research desk

War of attrition and temporal asymmetry: why Putin is weighing a structured attack while the US seeks a last-minute deal.

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07 September 2026 · corrado

The Convergence of Perception: How Moscow and Washington Reframed Europe in the New Geopolitical Atlas

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05 September 2026 · The Auspex research desk

On grey-zone escalation ladders

We examine how adversaries construct incremental escalation pathways that remain below conventional conflict thresholds while steadily advancing strategic objectives.

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18 August 2026 · The Auspex research desk

Signal of the week: Divergent regulatory trajectories in transatlantic data governance

We observe a widening gap between European and North American approaches to data protection enforcement, with implications for cross-border information flows.

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08 August 2026 · The Auspex research desk

Method note: how a probability band is set

We outline the process by which we derive probability bands for forecast events, clarifying the statistical foundations and calibration methods employed.

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31 July 2026 · The Auspex research desk

Proxy Networks and Global Escalation: Are We Already in World War III?

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30 July 2026 · The Auspex research desk

Beyond Attrition: Who Wins the Global War of Friction?

The current geopolitical landscape has shattered the boundaries of regional conflicts. From the trenches of Eastern Europe to the fault lines of the Middle East, we are witnessing a multipolar war of attrition. Numerous actors participate silently or indirectly, positioning themselves to safeguard their own economic interests.

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28 July 2026 · Mykola Melnyk, Independent Analyst

Russia-Ukraine: a war that should never have started, a war that should have already ended

The debate surrounding the origins and continuation of the conflict in Ukraine divides global public opinion, raising profound questions about the role of Western powers and the effectiveness of international diplomacy. A significant body of geopolitical critique argues that the current devastation could have been avoided if the West had not pursued a policy of enlargement and influence in the region, which Moscow perceived as a direct threat to its security.

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28 July 2026 · The Auspex research desk

The Russia-Ukraine War: Contesting Narratives of Inevitability and Responsibility

We examine competing framings of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, from Western expansion debates to Minsk implementation disputes, noting the persistence of divergent causal interpretations.

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06 July 2026 · The Auspex research desk

Why we quote our sources verbatim

Why we quote our sources verbatim

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